IRAN: Kurdish Armed Movements Along Border Likely to Elevate Power Struggle Summary: Armed Kurdish groups based in Iraq’s Kurdistan region have attempted to cross into Iran amid nationwide protests, raising the potential for increased regional stability. The crossings highlight the intersection of Kurdish militancy, Iran’s domestic unrest, and regional security dynamics, and may pressure Iraq and the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) to manage military activity within their

AZERBAIJAN: Turkic States Cooperation Likely Signaling Shift to European Partnership Summary: Baku is calling for increased military...

SYRIA: Turkey-Syria Military Deal Likely to Push SDF Back Into Integration Talks Summary: Turkey has signed a military cooperation...

IRAN: Water Crisis Likely to Increase Tensions with Ankara Over Tigris River Summary: Tehran recently shut down government offices to...

SYRIA: Renewed Ties with Moscow Will Likely Reignite Geopolitical Tensions Summary: Syrian Foreign Minister Al-Shaibani met with his...

ARMENIA: U.S. Control of Corridor Likely to See Iranian Aggression on Regional Assets Summary: The peace deal between Baku and Yerevan...

SYRIA: Russia Likely to Bolster Khmeimim Air Base Following Tartus Port Expansion Summary : The UAE signed an $800 million agreement to...

YEMEN: U.S. Ceasefire with Houthis Unlikely to Hold Due to Increased Regional Attacks  Summary: The Houthi rebels in Yemen launched an...

SYRIA: Ankara is Likely to Increase Counterterrorism Efforts to Stabilize South Border  Summary: A suicide attacker fired shots and then...

IRAN: European Energy Sector Likely to Suffer Due to Israel-Iran Conflict Summary: European foreign ministers met with the Iranian...

RUSSIA: African Expansion Likely to Increase Due to Heightened State of War in Ukraine Summary: Russia announced that it will increase...

LEBANON: Iranian Reconstruction Pledge Likely to Ease Reform Demands from the West Summary: The Iranian Foreign Minister stated that Iran...

SYRIA: New Energy Deal Likely to Restore State Legitimacy and Counter Iran Summary: The U.S. brokered an energy agreement between Syria...

IRAN: Threat to Block Strait of Hormuz Likely to Increase U.S. Military Posturing Summary: Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian stated...

SAUDI: Increased U.S. Support Signals Strategic Shift from Israel to Stabilize Region Summary:  U.S. President Donald Trump signed a $142...

UKRAINE: Minerals Deal Likely to Stimulate U.S. Defense Production for the Indo-Pacific   Summary: The U.S. and Ukraine finalized the...

MOROCCO: Sea Access for Sahel Likely to Challenge Algiers' Influence in the Region Summary: Rabat recently offered Mali, Niger, and...

JORDAN: Recent Ban on Muslim Brotherhood Likely to Fuel Internal Division Summary: Amman imposed a full ban on the Muslim Brotherhood and...